Aug 13, 2011

"Don't quote me on this one!"

Experts are notoriously precise …

If there’s any inkling of a doubt, usually that means they’ll say “I don’t know” or “we can’t say for sure” or the age-old classic – “additional research is needed.”

My guess is this:

Our regular onslaught of summer rains started late this year which, following a deep winter and spring dry season drought, meant that what we call the “first flush” of storm water washing off the landscape (i.e., discharging as sheetflow then into canals) then spilling out into the shallow coast occurred in an already warm-as-a-bathtub Gulf.

The so-called “first flush” is notoriously chock full with pollutants (i.e., field fertilizers, road grime and debris) that has built up and laid dormant on the landscape on the landscape all dry season long. By contrast, had the “first flush” came earlier in May or June, cooler coastal water temperatures may have buffered against the chain reaction of an algal bloom …

Or at least kept it in check.

"He might be right."

As for my data?

I have none.

I love being the non-expert! 
As for the experts, here's the latest word. (see article)

1 comment:

Ciss B said...

WE are having some fish die outs too but yours is heads and tails ahead of ours. Wisconsin got the worst of the fish on the beach this year. It came from from the nasty month of July where we barely dipped below 90!) I think.